Commercial Real Estate: A Look at 2022

Commercial Real Estate: A Look at 2022

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Newsletter – January 2023

2022 was an interesting year in the world of real estate investments and overall economic conditions. With rising interest rates, growing inflation, and increases in the consumer price index, the real estate investment market was a rollercoaster of opportunity. Each of these data points creates a narrative for the year that is easily traceable and foreshadows the kind of year to come in 2023.

In early 2022, there were reports that the Federal Reserve Bank would be raising the prime rate to combat high inflation. The schedule proposed by the Fed would have the rate increasing by over 200 BPS in 2022 alone. The speed at which the rate was to be increased is what had people worried. If you needed a loan, it was 4% now or 6%+ later in the year. This proved to be extremely beneficial to the Real Estate market. The first and second quarters of 2022 saw $192B and $257B in sales volume respectively, nationwide across all product types. Both quarters represent a higher transaction volume than the previous year in its entirety. This high sales volume directly correlates to the start of the interest rate hikes and the increases in inflation. Investors generally wanted to shield their resources from inflation at lower interest rates. Real Estate has always been a good inflation protection asset.

January Newsletter Article graph

Figure 1 – Sales Volume – Data Sources: Figure 1 – CoStar Realty Information Inc.

n Q4 2022, there was roughly $156B in sale volume in the whole of the USA. Considering the numbers in 2022, this is a huge drop in transaction volume. But if we look at years prior in commercial real estate, we see that this quarter alone would be considered a strong year in any of the last 10 years. As the chart above demonstrates, however, this has still been a better fourth quarter than in Q4 2021 by over $148B. This quarter has been bleak in most commercial real estate markets, but it is all a matter of perspective. Deals probably wouldn’t have fallen through as they did in the last two quarters if it weren’t for the public’s perspective on the massive amount that the government inflated the dollar in 2022 as shown in Figure 2.

January Newsletter Article graph 2

Figure 2 – US Inflation 2022 – Data Sources: Figure 2 – U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

With inflation over 9% at its height in 2022, the cost of living has spiked, and the markets have been at their lowest points. Even inflation-protected investments like real estate are suffering, and pretty much all economic sectors look bleak. However, it is in times like these that the greatest opportunity exists. Any investor who wishes they could go back to 2009 and take advantage of the world of opportunity created by the crash in 2008 should recognize that now is the time to be aware of opportunity. With real estate suffering like it is, prices should respond in kind. While we don’t forecast drastic price reductions yet, it is only a matter of time before prices soften. Sellers must move their dormant product before lenders force the same, and buyers will soon be holding most of the negotiating power. Stay vigilant for the certainty of supply and demand and seize the opportunity that is given in difficult times. It may get worse before it gets better, but commercial real estate will continue to perform well in the future.

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NAVPOINT REAL ESTATE

CONFIDENTIALITY / NON-CIRCUMVENTION

NON-DISCLOSURE AGREEMENT

NavPoint Real Estate Group (“Broker“) has been retained as the exclusive Broker regarding the sale of the property located at the address noted below.

To receive an Offering Memorandum (“Offering Memorandum“) please read this Confidentiality Agreement and agree to the terms. The details and information contained within the Offering Memorandum were obtained from sources deemed to be reliable. Verification of the information contained within the Offering Memorandum are the sole responsibility of the Potential Purchaser. No representation is made to the accuracy of the information by Seller or Broker. THIS AGREEMENT is made and entered into by and between NavPoint Real Estate Group and “Potential Purchaser” and shall become effective when executed by Potential Purchaser or Potential Purchasers Broker.

A. Commencing with discussions held between their respective representatives the parties have pursued and expect to continue to pursue discussions (the Discussions) relating to the potential sale of:

In the course of these discussions, Seller has disclosed to Potential Purchaser and may continue to disclose to Potential Purchaser certain information of proprietary and confidential nature (“Confidential Information”).

B. Seller will provide to Potential Purchaser certain printed, typed and handwritten materials and other tangible materials containing or relating to Confidential Information (“Documentation”).

In order to protect the Confidential Information, both during the term of the Discussions and after their expiration or termination, Potential Purchaser agrees as follows:

  1. Potential Purchaser shall maintain the Confidential Information in strictest confidence and shall not disclose to any third party any Confidential Information received from the other party. In addition, Potential Purchaser shall ensure that its officers, employees and agents likewise maintain the Seller’s Confidential Information in strictest confidence and that such persons do not disclose such Confidential Information to any other party. Potential Purchaser shall not have the right to use, duplicate, reproduce, copy, distribute or disseminate Confidential Information except for purpose of the discussions and negotiations as needed.
  2. Potential Purchaser agrees to limit access to Confidential Information received from the Seller to its own officers and employees on the absolute need-to-know basis solely for the purpose of the Discussions, and to use the same degree of care in reserving the secrecy of the Confidential Information furnished by the Seller and/or Broker as it uses in preserving the secrecy of its own Confidential Information.
  3. Notwithstanding the conclusion or termination of the Discussions, Potential Purchaser shall continue to fulfill its obligations hereunder for a period of one (1) year from the date of disclosure. Upon termination of the Discussions, all Confidential Information, including all forms of Documentation shall be returned to the Broker, including any copies or adaptations made by the receiving party.
  4. The obligation of Potential Purchaser under Paragraphs 1 and 2 above shall not apply or shall cease to apply to any information which Potential Purchaser can demonstrate by reasonable documentary proof- (a) to have been in the possession of Potential Purchaser at the time it was first disclosed by the Seller and/or Broker; (b) was in the public domain at the time it was disclosed to Potential Purchaser; (c) entered the public domain through sources independent of Potential Purchaser and through no fault of Potential Purchaser; (d) was lawfully obtained by Potential Purchaser from a third party who is free to disclose such information to Potential Purchaser; (e) to have been at any time developed by Potential Purchaser independently of any disclosure from the Seller; or (f) has been in the possession of Potential Purchaser for more than five (5) years.
  5. Potential Purchaser shall not have any right to register any copyright, trademark, service mark or corporate name based upon Confidential Information or otherwise register or claim any right to use any Confidential Information disclosed to it by the Seller without the express written consent of Seller and Broker. Nothing herein, and no disclosure of Confidential Information or Documentation pursuant hereto, shall be deemed a grant to Potential Purchaser, whether by implication, estoppels or otherwise, of any right or license under any industrial property right of the Seller.
  6. The Discussions shall continue until the date on which an Agreement shall have been concluded or the date on which either party shall have given written notice to the other of termination of the Discussions. All obligations of the parties hereunder shall survive any termination of the Discussions.
  7. Each party acknowledges and agrees that the unauthorized disclosure or use of Confidential Information disclosed to it by the other party or any other breach of its obligations will result in irreparable injury to the party, which furnished the Confidential Information. Therefore, each party agrees that the injured party shall be entitled to receive injunctive relief in any legal proceeding instituted by such injured party.
  8. This Agreement shall be governed by, and interpreted and construed in accordance with, the laws of the State of Colorado, USA.

For purposes of creating a binding contract in determining the rights and obligations under such contract in any court of law, the parties acknowledge that a signature reproduced by either digital signature, electronic signature, facsimile or photocopy shall have the same force and effect as an original signature and that the original and any such copies shall be deemed one and the same document. In the event this Non-Disclosure Agreement is submitted electronically, this agreement is provided under the Uniform Electronic Transactions Act – Col. Rev. Stat. §§ 24-71.3-101 et seq. By submitting this agreement, you are confirming your agreement to submit this Non-Disclosure Agreement electronically, and your indication of agreement, along with information provided, will have the same force and affect as if this agreement was submitted manually and your manual signature was provided. You should retain a copy of this agreement for your records.

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